← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 48% | 60% | 2.04 | value: +23% |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | 3.61 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 25% | 17% | 3.88 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mouscron-Peruwelz | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 735.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1474.39 | 1730.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.77 | -13.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 27.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.86 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |