← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 76% | 66% | 1.28 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 21% | 6.05 | value: +27% |
| St Truiden win | 8% | 13% | 12.30 | value: +60% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 248.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1703.62 | 1420.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.50 | -21.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| league points | 58.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.04 |
| state index | 1.22 | -0.84 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |