← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 36% | 43% | 2.68 | value: +17% |
| Club Brugge win | 35% | 29% | 2.78 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.41 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1624.51 | 1714.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.99 | 42.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| league points | 42.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| state index | 0.98 | 1.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |