← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 38% | 45% | 2.54 | value: +15% |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 32% | 31% | 3.02 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 24% | 3.33 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1062.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1465.80 | 1472.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.82 | 8.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |