← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Fri, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 68% | 56% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 26% | 4.82 | value: +24% |
| Lokeren win | 12% | 18% | 8.20 | value: +48% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Lokeren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 635.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1726.56 | 1577.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.69 | -22.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 55.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.11 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |