← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 64% | 61% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 22% | 4.68 | value: +4% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 16% | 16% | 6.23 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 722.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1457.15 | 1750.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.66 | -1.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 26.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.96 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.89 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |