← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Feb 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 55% | 56% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.79 | fair |
| St Truiden win | 19% | 17% | 5.20 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 629.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1565.68 | 1437.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.44 | -10.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| league points | 30.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |