← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 50% | 35% | 1.94 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.77 | fair |
| Oostende win | 24% | 40% | 4.08 | value: +65% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 228.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1595.10 | 1694.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.22 | 47.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| league points | 43.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 2.08 |
| state index | 0.16 | 1.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |