← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 63% | 66% | 1.56 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 4.66 | fair |
| Waregem win | 16% | 14% | 5.92 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 714.00 | 1535.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1743.25 | 1573.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.93 | -6.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 48.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.48 |
| state index | 0.83 | 0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |