← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Fri, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 72% | 71% | 1.35 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 5.32 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 9% | 11% | 10.58 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 621.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1745.63 | 1463.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.55 | -15.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| league points | 52.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |