← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 38% | 36% | 2.56 | fair |
| Gent win | 34% | 37% | 2.90 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.46 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 221.00 | 616.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1684.29 | 1755.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.00 | 19.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| league points | 49.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 2.17 |
| state index | 1.06 | 1.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |