← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 52% | 59% | 1.87 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | 3.85 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 23% | 19% | 4.33 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 214.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1587.94 | 1466.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.87 | -33.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 39.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 0.96 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |