← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 46% | 45% | 2.14 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | 3.50 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 26% | 30% | 3.69 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1481.24 | 1636.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.02 | 5.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 23.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.35 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |