← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 55% | 46% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | 3.75 | value: +9% |
| Kortrijk win | 19% | 25% | 5.21 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 274.00 | 608.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1599.37 | 1574.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.34 | -51.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 32.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |