← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 59% | 50% | 1.66 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 4.05 | value: +8% |
| Mechelen win | 17% | 23% | 5.70 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 973.00 | 639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1601.14 | 1534.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.33 | -6.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 31.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |