← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Fri, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 62% | 58% | 1.58 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 4.20 | value: +6% |
| St Truiden win | 15% | 17% | 6.50 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 150.00 | 699.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1441.80 | 1743.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.36 | 7.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 26.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.91 |
| state index | -0.90 | 0.84 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |