← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 66% | 47% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 25% | 4.81 | value: +21% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 13% | 27% | 7.41 | value: +104% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1476.79 | 1671.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.71 | -0.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| league points | 25.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.95 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |