← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 63% | 59% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 4.56 | value: +3% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 16% | 19% | 6.30 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 200.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1602.11 | 1471.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.09 | -4.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.14 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |