← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 44% | 38% | 2.21 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.48 | fair |
| Anderlecht win | 28% | 33% | 3.50 | value: +15% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 595.00 | 687.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1723.60 | 1752.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.44 | 8.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| league points | 43.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| state index | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |