← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 37% | 41% | 2.67 | value: +11% |
| Westerlo win | 34% | 34% | 2.88 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 24% | 3.30 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1020.00 | 625.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1432.45 | 1545.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.96 | 0.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 16.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |