← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 40% | 34% | 2.45 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 31% | 40% | 3.15 | value: +27% |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.34 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 594.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1465.37 | 1577.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.30 | -57.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 19.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.19 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |