← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Dec 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 67% | 61% | 1.45 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 4.69 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 12% | 17% | 8.22 | value: +44% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 179.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1628.22 | 1479.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.41 | 2.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.05 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |