← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Dec 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 83% | 81% | 1.17 | fair |
| Draw | 12% | 12% | 8.43 | value: +4% |
| Westerlo win | 5% | 6% | 19.25 | value: +22% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 666.00 | 1000.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1750.18 | 1434.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.65 | -10.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 38.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 0.80 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |