← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 53% | 29% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | 3.85 | value: +5% |
| Kortrijk win | 21% | 44% | 4.58 | value: +103% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 573.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1595.00 | 1647.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.05 | 1.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| league points | 25.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |