← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Tue, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 38% | 39% | 2.58 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 34% | 33% | 2.89 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mouscron-Peruwelz | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 934.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1487.80 | 1594.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.76 | -5.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.26 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |