← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Dec 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 45% | 47% | 2.15 | fair |
| Westerlo win | 27% | 27% | 3.55 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | 3.60 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 992.00 | 931.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1421.00 | 1608.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.97 | 6.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.33 |
| state index | -1.36 | 0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |