← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Dec 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 61% | 56% | 1.60 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 4.12 | value: +8% |
| St Truiden win | 15% | 17% | 6.38 | value: +10% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 232.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1590.80 | 1458.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.09 | -6.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 25.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |