← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Fri, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 43% | 50% | 2.29 | value: +15% |
| Waregem win | 31% | 25% | 3.12 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.74 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 78.00 | 1478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1608.71 | 1576.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.72 | -12.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |