← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 55% | 52% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.75 | fair |
| St Truiden win | 19% | 21% | 5.20 | value: +9% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 103.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1465.16 | 1729.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.90 | -8.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| league points | 24.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.06 |
| state index | 0.00 | 1.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |