← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 55% | 60% | 1.77 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | 3.78 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 19% | 17% | 5.13 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 559.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1626.77 | 1477.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 25.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |