← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 42% | 39% | 2.34 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 30% | 31% | 3.23 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.46 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 66.00 | 553.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1594.52 | 1641.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.92 | 16.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 18.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.47 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |