← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sat, Dec 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 63% | 55% | 1.56 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | 4.35 | value: +9% |
| St Truiden win | 15% | 20% | 6.47 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 157.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1604.31 | 1449.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.50 | -11.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 34.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |