← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 44% | 44% | 2.23 | fair |
| Westerlo win | 30% | 33% | 3.26 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | 3.73 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 972.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1440.41 | 1597.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.89 | 14.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 12.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.94 |
| state index | -1.00 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |