← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 50% | 57% | 1.96 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.82 | fair |
| Oostende win | 25% | 18% | 3.95 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1200.00 | 1503.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1568.28 | 1484.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.51 | -17.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 31.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |