← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 64% | 58% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 4.22 | value: +4% |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 13% | 17% | 7.56 | value: +32% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 652.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1620.04 | 1454.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.96 | -18.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.90 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |