← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 47% | 54% | 2.07 | value: +11% |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.47 | fair |
| Gent win | 25% | 20% | 3.97 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 379.00 | 287.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1754.55 | 1688.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.13 | 23.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 57.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.86 |
| state index | 1.36 | 1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |