← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 48% | 43% | 2.04 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 31% | 3.56 | value: +10% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 25% | 26% | 3.94 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1495.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1476.65 | 1471.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.55 | -0.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 32.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.89 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |