← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 83% | 63% | 1.18 | fair |
| Draw | 12% | 21% | 8.00 | value: +71% |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 5% | 16% | 18.96 | value: +195% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 0.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1598.85 | 1452.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.97 | -40.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 71.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.85 |
| state index | -0.66 | -1.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |