β Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 Β· Sun, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 59% | 59% | 1.65 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 4.11 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 17% | 17% | 5.64 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 365.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1736.68 | 1650.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.21 | 18.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| league points | 51.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.74 |
| state index | 0.84 | 1.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |