← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 40% | 47% | 2.43 | value: +13% |
| Oostende win | 31% | 29% | 3.11 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 25% | 3.42 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 698.00 | 1488.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1471.53 | 1492.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.74 | -11.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 30.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |