← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Fri, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 78% | 58% | 1.26 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 24% | 6.34 | value: +50% |
| Club Brugge win | 7% | 18% | 14.12 | value: +158% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 971.00 | 2889.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1715.91 | 1604.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.25 | -35.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 47.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.42 |
| state index | 1.24 | -0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |