← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 36% | 22% | 2.71 | fair |
| Gent win | 35% | 52% | 2.76 | value: +43% ⚠ |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.40 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 266.00 | 2884.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1672.65 | 1610.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.55 | -44.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.45 |
| state index | 1.05 | -0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |