← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 46% | 27% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.58 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 26% | 47% | 3.71 | value: +74% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2883.00 | 1178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1613.38 | 1585.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.06 | -20.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 70.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |