← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 70% | 72% | 1.40 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 18% | 4.76 | fair |
| Mechelen win | 10% | 10% | 9.98 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 351.00 | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1734.23 | 1518.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.88 | 5.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| state index | 1.10 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |