← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lierse win | 44% | 24% | 2.22 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 24% | 3.46 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 28% | 52% | 3.50 | value: +82% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lierse | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2876.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1430.40 | 1627.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.32 | -17.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 18.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.50 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |