← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 51% | 30% | 1.93 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.85 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 24% | 44% | 4.06 | value: +81% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 252.00 | 2870.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1642.05 | 1640.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.44 | -10.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 41.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.53 |
| state index | 1.12 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |