← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 64% | 44% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 26% | 4.47 | value: +14% |
| Club Brugge win | 15% | 30% | 6.71 | value: +102% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2870.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1654.99 | 1719.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.76 | -2.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 69.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.83 |
| state index | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |