← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 66% | 68% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 20% | 4.78 | fair |
| Lierse win | 13% | 12% | 7.28 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1164.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1599.78 | 1414.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.87 | -31.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 29.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.63 |
| state index | 0.08 | -1.97 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |