← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 46% | 37% | 2.12 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.46 | fair |
| Charleroi win | 26% | 34% | 3.73 | value: +29% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 282.00 | 616.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1517.68 | 1607.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.36 | 25.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.91 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.58 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.94 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |