← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Tue, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 55% | 59% | 1.78 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | 3.84 | fair |
| Oostende win | 20% | 17% | 4.97 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 186.00 | 1463.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1627.22 | 1497.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.57 | -22.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.22 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.98 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |